Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 12.315999 14.148367 16.110142 18.360992 20.866209 23.562938 26.679277
2025-07-20 9.882240 12.368376 15.215346 18.694551 22.808095 27.492443 33.204592
2025-07-27 8.319125 11.123692 14.504024 18.833435 24.182041 30.521824 38.548405
2025-08-03 6.927830 9.827503 13.484266 18.362276 24.618544 32.287646 42.303371
2025-08-10 5.898923 8.831274 12.683337 18.010852 25.070898 33.979629 45.925918
2025-08-17 5.061742 7.973805 11.948165 17.630901 25.389087 35.436788 49.230642
2025-08-24 4.387976 7.256300 11.314779 17.300572 25.699188 36.836782 52.453945
2025-08-31 3.764280 6.533900 10.595021 16.768692 25.662436 37.725925 54.983351
2025-09-07 3.401116 6.162413 10.340160 16.859992 26.467381 39.751315 59.078084
2025-09-14 3.067821 5.798150 10.057195 16.874261 27.139069 41.592214 62.956384
2025-09-21 2.815052 5.535887 9.902858 17.057905 28.046674 43.776380 67.362541
2025-09-28 2.550148 5.222433 9.637176 17.041968 28.639887 45.513779 71.173014
2025-10-05 2.390791 5.080855 9.642909 17.457457 29.913110 48.297404 76.600292
2025-10-12 2.227966 4.914931 9.592713 17.774327 31.041264 50.900059 81.841563
2025-10-19 2.050627 4.701124 9.440736 17.907471 31.876150 53.080820 86.515036
2025-10-26 1.801670 4.318865 8.961031 17.455615 31.746529 53.784483 88.997170
2025-11-02 1.597930 4.001218 8.567673 17.118645 31.773771 54.711476 91.821376
2025-11-09 1.413470 3.699724 8.176460 16.754375 31.727726 55.507681 94.451241
2025-11-16 1.255225 3.433613 7.827520 16.437725 31.736509 56.376226 97.200113
2025-11-23 1.093109 3.136274 7.390561 15.927964 31.383232 56.642263 99.001661
2025-11-30 1.009662 3.009876 7.281362 16.015459 32.059153 58.579901 103.473156
2025-12-07 0.926601 2.873294 7.139230 16.029133 32.600412 60.306887 107.646461
2025-12-14 0.865356 2.782649 7.084563 16.205136 33.432711 62.532012 112.667015